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Treasury auction results, the monthly deficit, Federal Reserve decisions, budget office reports and debt milestones — each with the numbers, a link to the official release and the context on this site. No opinion, no rewritten wire copy.
Total public debt
$40.58 trillion
Treasury, October 27, 2026
Change in the latest week
+$56.8 billion
week to October 22, 2026
Deficit, FY 2026 to date
$1.99 trillion
through September 30, 2026
Fed funds target range
3.75–4%
New York Fed, October 27, 2026
The Federal Open Market Committee published its policy statement. The statement sets the target range for the federal funds rate, which influences what the Treasury pays on newly issued short-term debt. For reference: the federal funds target range was 3.75–4% and the effective rate 3.88% on October 27, 2026, the latest New York Fed figures when this item was published.
The Congressional Budget Office published “Information Sources for Policymakers: Congressional Budget Office 101”. CBO's summary: “Presentation by Lara Robillard, an analyst in CBO's Budget Analysis Division, at AcademyHealth's 2026 Health Policy Orientation.” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.58 trillion on October 27, 2026.
The Congressional Budget Office published “Estimated Budgetary Effects of S. 5526, the Agricultural Act of 2026”. CBO's summary: “As ordered reported by the Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry on September 16, 2026” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.53 trillion on October 26, 2026.
The Congressional Budget Office published “A Primer on CBO's Projections of Federal Receipts and Expenditures in the National Income and Product Accounts”. CBO's summary: “CBO explains the differences between revenues, outlays, and deficits in the federal budget and the corresponding measures of federal receipts, expenditures, and saving in the national income and product accounts.” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.46 trillion on October 23, 2026.
The Congressional Budget Office published “CBO's Projections of Federal Receipts and Expenditures in the National Income and Product Accounts: 2026 to 2036”. CBO's summary: “CBO presents its projections of revenues and outlays for the 2026–2036 period translated into projections of current federal receipts and expenditures in the national income and product accounts.” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.46 trillion on October 23, 2026.
New Bureau of Labor Statistics figures for September 2026 put the highest seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in California (5.1%) and the lowest in South Dakota (2.0%). The state table has been updated.
The Federal Open Market Committee meets October 27, 2026 to October 28, 2026. Dates and amounts are as announced by Treasury and the Federal Reserve and can change.
Total public debt outstanding was $40.44 trillion on October 22, 2026, up $56.8 billion from $40.39 trillion on October 16, 2026. Over the 30 days to October 22, 2026 it rose $347 billion, an average of $11.6 billion a day. Since fiscal year 2027 began on October 1, 2026, it has risen $273 billion.
Treasury has 5 auctions scheduled across 13-week bill, 26-week bill, 6-week bill, 20-year bond, 5-year TIPS. Dates and amounts are as announced by Treasury and the Federal Reserve and can change.
The Monthly Treasury Statement for September 2026 shows a deficit of $1.99 trillion for fiscal year 2026 so far, compared with a deficit of $1.78 trillion in the same months a year earlier ($217 billion more). Receipts were $5.40 trillion and outlays $7.40 trillion. In September alone the government ran a deficit of $26.9 billion, against a surplus of $198 billion in September 2025.
Total public debt outstanding was $40.39 trillion on October 15, 2026, up $86.8 billion from $40.30 trillion on October 9, 2026. Over the 30 days to October 15, 2026 it rose $274 billion, an average of $9.1 billion a day. Since fiscal year 2027 began on October 1, 2026, it has risen $216 billion.
Treasury has 3 auctions scheduled across 6-week bill, 13-week bill, 26-week bill. Dates and amounts are as announced by Treasury and the Federal Reserve and can change.
The Treasury sold $22.5 billion of 30-year bond securities on October 8, 2026, reopening an existing issue with 29-year 10-month remaining. The high yield was 5.618%, 31 basis points higher than the 5.308% at the previous 30-year bond auction on September 10, 2026. Bids came to 2.54 times the amount sold (previous auction: 2.61). Indirect bidders, a group that includes foreign central banks, were awarded 72.3% of the competitive amount; primary dealers, who must bid, took 6.8%.
The Congressional Budget Office published “Monthly Budget Review: September 2026”. CBO's summary: “The federal budget deficit totaled $2.0 trillion in fiscal year 2026, CBO estimates, $218 billion more than the deficit recorded in fiscal year 2025.” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.28 trillion on October 7, 2026.
Total public debt outstanding was $40.31 trillion on October 8, 2026, up $62.9 billion from $40.24 trillion on October 2, 2026. Over the 30 days to October 8, 2026 it rose $221 billion, an average of $7.4 billion a day. Since fiscal year 2027 began on October 1, 2026, it has risen $133 billion.
The Congressional Budget Office published “Projections of Deficits and Debt Under Two Scenarios With Higher Interest Rates”. CBO's summary: “CBO analyzed the budgetary outcomes under two alternative scenarios in which interest rates are higher than those underlying CBO's February 2026 baseline.” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.28 trillion on October 7, 2026.
The Treasury sold $39.9 billion of 10-year note securities on October 7, 2026, reopening an existing issue with 9-year 10-month remaining. The high yield was 5.300%, 47 basis points higher than the 4.834% at the previous 10-year note auction on September 9, 2026. Bids came to 2.77 times the amount sold (previous auction: 2.71). Indirect bidders, a group that includes foreign central banks, were awarded 80.3% of the competitive amount; primary dealers, who must bid, took 2.5%.
The Federal Reserve published the minutes of a Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which record the discussion behind the rate decision in more detail than the statement. For reference: the federal funds target range was 3.75–4% and the effective rate 3.88% on October 6, 2026, the latest New York Fed figures when this item was published.
The Treasury sold $59.4 billion of 3-year note securities on October 6, 2026. The high yield was 4.932%, 46 basis points higher than the 4.474% at the previous 3-year note auction on September 8, 2026. Bids came to 2.62 times the amount sold (previous auction: 2.72). Indirect bidders, a group that includes foreign central banks, were awarded 57.6% of the competitive amount; primary dealers, who must bid, took 10.7%.
The Congressional Budget Office published “How Spending for Flood Adaptations Affects the Federal Budget”. CBO's summary: “CBO examines how spending for flood adaptations today might affect the federal government's potential costs for disaster relief later, and what households are likely to pay for flood insurance that is subsidized by the federal government.” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.25 trillion on October 5, 2026.
Treasury has 5 auctions scheduled across 17-week bill, 10-year note, 4-week bill, 8-week bill, 30-year bond. Dates and amounts are as announced by Treasury and the Federal Reserve and can change.
Total public debt outstanding was $40.24 trillion on October 2, 2026, up $145 billion from $40.10 trillion on September 25, 2026. Over the 30 days to October 2, 2026 it rose $125 billion, an average of $4.2 billion a day. Since fiscal year 2027 began on October 1, 2026, it has risen $70.6 billion.
The Federal Reserve held $4.46 trillion of US Treasury securities in its last weekly report of September 2026 (September 30, 2026), up $18.2 billion from $4.44 trillion on August 26, 2026. Its holdings peaked at $5.68 trillion on April 20, 2022.
At the end of September 2026 the average rate across all interest-bearing debt was 3.531%. On September 30, 2026 the Treasury yield curve ran from 4.02% to 5.68%, with the ten-year at 5.29% and the thirty-year at 5.64%. New ten-year borrowing therefore costs 176 basis points more than the average already being paid, and maturing securities are refinanced at the new rate. The published average excludes inflation-protected and floating rate securities.
Treasury paid an average of 3.531% across all interest-bearing debt at the end of September 2026, up 4 basis points from 3.490% a month earlier. Twelve months earlier it was 3.363%, a change of plus 17 basis points. Marketable debt, the part sold at auction, averaged 3.518%. The average moves as maturing securities are replaced at current rates, which is why it can rise in a month when the debt itself barely changes.
Treasury has 4 auctions scheduled across 13-week bill, 26-week bill, 6-week bill, 52-week bill. Dates and amounts are as announced by Treasury and the Federal Reserve and can change.
Total public debt outstanding was $40.10 trillion on September 25, 2026, down $4.3 billion from $40.10 trillion on September 18, 2026. Over the 30 days to September 25, 2026 it rose $27.4 billion, an average of $914 million a day. Since fiscal year 2026 began on October 1, 2025, it has risen $2.46 trillion.
The Treasury sold $50.6 billion of 7-year note securities on September 24, 2026. The high yield was 5.085%, 57 basis points higher than the 4.512% at the previous 7-year note auction on August 27, 2026. Bids came to 2.42 times the amount sold (previous auction: 2.50). Indirect bidders, a group that includes foreign central banks, were awarded 57.2% of the competitive amount; primary dealers, who must bid, took 12.5%.
The Congressional Budget Office published “Projections of Deficits and Debt Under Alternative Scenarios for Interest Rates and the Budget”. CBO's summary: “CBO responds to a request for an analysis of projected deficits and debt under a scenario with higher interest rates and a scenario with a constant debt-to-GDP ratio.” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.07 trillion on September 23, 2026.
The Treasury sold $80.5 billion of 5-year note securities on September 23, 2026. The high yield was 5.033%, 64 basis points higher than the 4.393% at the previous 5-year note auction on August 26, 2026. Bids came to 2.21 times the amount sold (previous auction: 2.37). Indirect bidders, a group that includes foreign central banks, were awarded 54.3% of the competitive amount; primary dealers, who must bid, took 15.8%.
The Treasury sold $79.4 billion of 2-year note securities on September 22, 2026. The high yield was 4.787%, 58 basis points higher than the 4.204% at the previous 2-year note auction on August 25, 2026. Bids came to 2.63 times the amount sold (previous auction: 2.60). Indirect bidders, a group that includes foreign central banks, were awarded 57.8% of the competitive amount; primary dealers, who must bid, took 13.2%.
New Bureau of Labor Statistics figures for August 2026 put the highest seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Oregon (5.1%) and the lowest in South Dakota (2.0%). The state table has been updated.
Total public debt outstanding was $40.10 trillion on September 18, 2026, up $55.3 billion from $40.05 trillion on September 11, 2026. Over the 30 days to September 18, 2026 it rose $88.8 billion, an average of $3.0 billion a day. Since fiscal year 2026 began on October 1, 2025, it has risen $2.46 trillion.
New York Fed reference rate data for September 17, 2026 show a federal funds target range of 3.75–4%, up from 3.5–3.75%. The effective federal funds rate was 3.88%. Interest on newly issued Treasury bills tends to follow this rate, which feeds through to what the government pays on its debt.
The Congressional Budget Office published “CBO's 2026 Long-Term Projections for Social Security”. CBO's summary: “In CBO's projections, the gap between Social Security's outlays and revenues generally widens over the next 75 years, and the balance of the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund is exhausted in fiscal year 2032.” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.09 trillion on September 16, 2026.
The Treasury sold $21.9 billion of 10-year TIPS securities on September 17, 2026, reopening an existing issue with 9-year 10-month remaining. The high real yield was 2.653%, 21 basis points higher than the 2.438% at the previous 10-year TIPS auction on July 23, 2026. Bids came to 2.24 times the amount sold (previous auction: 2.30). Indirect bidders, a group that includes foreign central banks, were awarded 59.1% of the competitive amount; primary dealers, who must bid, took 12.2%.
The Federal Open Market Committee published its policy statement. The statement sets the target range for the federal funds rate, which influences what the Treasury pays on newly issued short-term debt. For reference: the federal funds target range was 3.75–4% and the effective rate 3.88% on October 6, 2026, the latest New York Fed figures when this item was published.
The Federal Reserve published the economic projections of Federal Open Market Committee participants, including their expectations for the federal funds rate. For reference: the federal funds target range was 3.75–4% and the effective rate 3.88% on October 6, 2026, the latest New York Fed figures when this item was published.
The Government Accountability Office published “Export-Import Bank: Expanded Use of Delinquent Federal Debt Data Could Better Mitigate Credit Risk”. GAO's summary: “The Export-Import Bank of the United States’ (EXIM) loan guarantee transactions are approved by EXIM’s Board of Directors, staff with individual delegated authority, or delegated authority lenders.” For reference: total public debt outstanding was $40.11 trillion on September 15, 2026.
The Treasury sold $13.0 billion of 20-year bond securities on September 15, 2026, reopening an existing issue with 19-year 11-month remaining. The high yield was 5.420%, 22 basis points higher than the 5.204% at the previous 20-year bond auction on August 19, 2026. Bids came to 2.57 times the amount sold (previous auction: 2.53). Indirect bidders, a group that includes foreign central banks, were awarded 52.5% of the competitive amount; primary dealers, who must bid, took 16.9%.
A script checks the official sources twice a day. When something new appears — an auction result, a new Monthly Treasury Statement, a Federal Reserve statement, a report from the Congressional Budget Office or the Government Accountability Office, or the debt crossing a whole trillion — it writes an item from a fixed template, filled with the figures from that release. Directions such as “rose” or “fell” are calculated from the numbers, never assumed.
Nothing is generated by an AI model, and nothing is rewritten from news articles. Quotes are limited to the official summaries that US government agencies publish with their own reports, which are public domain. Each item names its source and links to it, so every figure can be checked. Once published, an item is not silently changed; if a source revises a figure, the next release shows the new one.
The "coming up" schedule uses the Treasury's announced auctions and the Federal Reserve's published meeting calendar. Found a mistake? Contact details are in the imprint, and the sources behind every figure on this site are listed on the methodology page.
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